Fagiano OkayamavsV-varen Nagasaki

Fagiano Okayama are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.