Fagiano OkayamavsSanfrecce Hiroshima

Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.