Fagiano Okayamavs
Nagoya Grampus
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fagiano Okayama
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20