GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

13.1%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fagiano OkayamaDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Gamba OsakaWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaGamba Osaka
33.3Attack83.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.44xG1.38
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