Fagiano Okayamavs
Gamba Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 2/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fagiano Okayama
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
13.1%
Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60