Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fafe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fafe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vianense have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fafe hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Liga 3, while Fafe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fafe
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Fafe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00