Fafevs
Guimaraes B
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fafe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guimaraes B are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.0 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.5% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
21.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20