Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Faetano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Faetano are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.50 conceded, while Tre Fiori are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Faetano hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Coppa Titano, while Faetano holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Faetano
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Faetano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.50/4.50
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50