Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Faetano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Faetano are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.67 conceded, while Libertas are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertas hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Campionato, while Faetano holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Faetano
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Faetano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/3.67
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67