GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 9/24/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

La Fiorita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Faetano are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while La Fiorita are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and La Fiorita hold a 45.7-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Campionato, while La Fiorita holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

La Fiorita

Probability

84.8%

Model confidence

84.8%

La Fiorita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FaetanoL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/5.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
La FioritaWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
FaetanoLa Fiorita
48.9Attack72.4
12.2Defence80.0
28.9Form82.9
32.0Power77.8
0.75xG3.68
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