Fach-Donaufeldvs
Wiener Viktoria
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fach-Donaufeld · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fach-Donaufeld 0-1 Wiener Viktoria
Original prediction
Fach-Donaufeld
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.3% | 39.6% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.5% | 25.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.1% | 34.5% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Fach-Donaufeld
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Fach-Donaufeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40