Fach-Donaufeldvs
Mattersburg SV 2020
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 8/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fach-Donaufeld · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fach-Donaufeld 0-2 Mattersburg SV 2020
Original prediction
Fach-Donaufeld
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.2% | 50.6% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.1% | 24.5% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Fach-Donaufeld
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Fach-Donaufeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60