GGOALVIO

Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · 7/28/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fach-Donaufeld · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fach-Donaufeld are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Leobendorf are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Leobendorf hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Regionalliga - Ost, while Fach-Donaufeld holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fach-Donaufeld

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Fach-Donaufeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fach-DonaufeldLWWLD

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
LeobendorfWDDLW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fach-DonaufeldLeobendorf
44.4Attack22.2
44.4Defence88.9
66.7Form55.6
55.1Power59.1
1.37xG1.25
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