Fach-Donaufeldvs
Gloggnitz
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fach-Donaufeld · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fach-Donaufeld 4-0 Gloggnitz
Original prediction
Fach-Donaufeld
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.4% | 41.3% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.0% | 27.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.6% | 31.2% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Fach-Donaufeld
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Fach-Donaufeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00