Fach-Donaufeldvs
Donau
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fach-Donaufeld · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fach-Donaufeld 1-0 Donau
Original prediction
Fach-Donaufeld
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 56.8% | 59.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.8% | 21.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.4% | 19.3% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Fach-Donaufeld
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Fach-Donaufeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40