GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fabril Barreiro are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Serpa are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Fabril Barreiro hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fabril BarreiroLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
FC SerpaLL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Fabril BarreiroFC Serpa
37.2Attack34.6
69.2Defence61.5
43.6Form43.6
51.8Power48.8
0.92xG0.58
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