FA Šiauliai IIvs
Minija
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: FA Šiauliai II 0-3 Minija, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FA Šiauliai II 1-2 Minija
Original prediction
Minija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.24 | 8.0% | 3.4% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.00 | 14.9% | 8.3% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 77.1% | 88.3% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Projected Score
FA Šiauliai II 0–3 Minija
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
88.3%
Model confidence
88.3%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FA Šiauliai IIWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MinijaWWWLW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FA Šiauliai IIMinija
30.2Attack88.3
28.6Defence81.7
22.2Form86.7
30.1Power83.5
0.47xG3.76