FA Šiauliai IIvs
Jonava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FA Šiauliai II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jonava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonava hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (27.7 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Jonava holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jonava
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
12.7%
Jonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 23 · GA 6 · avg 4.60/1.20