GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hegelmann II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FA Šiauliai II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hegelmann II hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (27.7 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Hegelmann II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hegelmann II

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Hegelmann II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FA Šiauliai IILDLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hegelmann IIWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FA Šiauliai IIHegelmann II
30.0Attack35.0
25.0Defence25.0
18.3Form26.7
27.7Power31.7
1.44xG1.47
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