FA Šiauliai IIvs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hegelmann II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FA Šiauliai II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hegelmann II hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (27.7 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Hegelmann II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hegelmann II
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Hegelmann II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60