FA Šiauliai IIvs
Be1 NFA
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FA Šiauliai II 0-2 Be1 NFA
Original prediction
Be1 NFA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 19.0% | 9.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.0% | 15.1% | -8.0 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.0% | 75.5% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FA Šiauliai IILLWLD
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Be1 NFAWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FA Šiauliai IIBe1 NFA
30.4Attack59.1
24.6Defence63.6
20.3Form66.7
28.4Power63.7
0.65xG2.73