1 Lyga
FA Šiauliai II
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Babrungas
AwayThe model projects 0.74 xG for FA Šiauliai II and 1.72 xG for Babrungas. FA Šiauliai II's projected xG of 0.74 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Babrungas's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.47 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — FA Šiauliai II's Defensive Stability (66) and Babrungas's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFA Šiauliai IIBabrungasProbability breakdown
Babrungas leads with 63% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Babrungas Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1
FA Šiauliai II host Babrungas in 1 Lyga. FA Šiauliai II have recorded LLLLLL in recent matches while Babrungas arrive with a run of WWDWWW. These sides have met 9 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Babrungas enter this fixture with a significantly stronger Momentum Score (78 vs 0). Momentum captures the trajectory of recent performances — not just results, but the underlying quality of those performances. Babrungas are trending upward while FA Šiauliai II have been less consistent, and that gap is the primary driver of this projection.
Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows FA Šiauliai II have won 2 of the last 9 meetings — a competitive history that suggests Babrungas's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.
Risk factors
- ⚠The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 9 meetings.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Head to head
Recent form
FA Šiauliai II
Babrungas
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FA Šiauliai II vs Babrungas?
GoalVio's model predicts Babrungas to win with 63% confidence.
What is the predicted score for FA Šiauliai II vs Babrungas?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in FA Šiauliai II vs Babrungas?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FA Šiauliai II vs Babrungas?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.