Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FA 2000 2-2 Skive
Original prediction
Skive
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.4% | 34.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 26.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.5% | 38.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Skive
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Skive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FA 2000DLLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SkiveLLWLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FA 2000Skive
33.3Attack46.7
40.0Defence46.7
26.7Form40.0
36.7Power46.4
1.31xG1.47