Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naestved · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FA 2000 1-1 Naestved
Original prediction
Naestved
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.9% | 25.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.6% | 47.1% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Naestved
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Naestved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FA 2000LLLLD
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NaestvedDDDWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
FA 2000Naestved
33.3Attack46.7
26.7Defence60.0
16.7Form50.0
29.0Power54.7
0.80xG2.03