Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FA 2000 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FA 2000 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lyngby are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FA 2000 hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the DBU Pokalen, while FA 2000 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FA 2000
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
7.9%
FA 2000 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20