Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyngby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FA 2000 0-1 Lyngby
Original prediction
Lyngby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.58 | 7.8% | 33.6% | 25.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.16 | 14.7% | 22.5% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.17 | 77.4% | 43.8% | -33.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Lyngby
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Lyngby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FA 2000LLWWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LyngbyLDLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FA 2000Lyngby
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence46.7
100.0Form46.7
80.3Power54.3
2.36xG1.87