F91 Dudelangevs
UN Kaerjeng 97
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UN Kaerjeng 97 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
F91 Dudelange 2-4 UN Kaerjeng 97
Original prediction
UN Kaerjeng 97
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.6% | 27.6% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 22.2% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.7% | 50.2% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
UN Kaerjeng 97
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
UN Kaerjeng 97 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20