GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

F91 Dudelange · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

F91 Dudelange 5-0 Swift Hesperange

Original prediction

F91 Dudelange

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.0983.2%72.9%-10.3 pts
Draw8.0611.2%15.8%4.6 pts
Away16.295.6%11.3%5.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–011%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

F91 Dudelange

Probability

72.9%

Model confidence

72.9%

F91 Dudelange has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

F91 DudelangeWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Swift HesperangeLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
F91 DudelangeSwift Hesperange
40.7Attack7.4
40.7Defence0.0
37.0Form0.0
42.2Power8.9
2.37xG0.87
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