GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing FC Union Luxembourg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

F91 Dudelange 1-3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Original prediction

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1442.5%28.6%-13.9 pts
Draw3.5026.0%24.1%-1.9 pts
Away2.8831.5%47.3%15.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Racing FC Union Luxembourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

F91 DudelangeWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing FC Union LuxembourgDLWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
F91 DudelangeRacing FC Union Luxembourg
33.3Attack86.7
46.7Defence60.0
40.0Form66.7
43.3Power67.6
1.14xG2.04
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