Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:05
F91 Dudelange

F91 Dudelange

Home
D
20
Full time
Mamer

Mamer

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Mamer33%
F91 Dudelange33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
F91 Dudelange
33%
Draw
33%
Mamer
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
F91 Dudelange
34
Mamer
34
Defence
F91 Dudelange
66
Mamer
66
Momentum
F91 Dudelange
33
Mamer
33
Danger (xG)
F91 Dudelange
0.90
Mamer
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.12 xG for F91 Dudelange and 0.67 xG for Mamer. Mamer's projected xG of 0.67 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.F91 Dudelange's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.79 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — F91 Dudelange's Defensive Stability (66) and Mamer's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (F91 Dudelange)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Mamer)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (F91 Dudelange)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mamer)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange
D
MamerMamer
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
F91 Dudelange33%
Draw33%
Mamer33%

Mamer leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

F91 Dudelange vs Mamer: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

F91 Dudelange host Mamer in Friendlies Clubs. F91 Dudelange have recorded LWWWWL in recent matches while Mamer arrive with a run of LLLWLL. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 3.12 for F91 Dudelange and 0.67 for Mamer. The gap of 2.45 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • F91 Dudelange have been conceding 3.02 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

F91 Dudelange

F91 Dudelange

D
vs UNA Strassen
17 May 2026
11
Mamer

Mamer

D
@ Rodange 91
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win F91 Dudelange vs Mamer?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for F91 Dudelange vs Mamer?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in F91 Dudelange vs Mamer?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in F91 Dudelange vs Mamer?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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