Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ÍF II 1-4 TB
Original prediction
ÍF II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 55.4% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 17.8% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.7% | 26.8% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÍF IIDWLWW
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TBDDLWD
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ÍF IITB
76.4Attack63.9
33.3Defence29.2
51.4Form43.1
52.4Power46.1
3.69xG2.38