Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ÍF II 6-3 Suduroy
Original prediction
Suduroy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.22 | 21.4% | 20.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.2% | 16.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.4% | 63.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÍF IILLDWL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SuduroyDWLWW
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ÍF IISuduroy
71.8Attack98.7
25.6Defence53.8
47.4Form69.2
47.3Power71.2
2.08xG4.08