Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
ÍF II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while NSÍ II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
8.5%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40