Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
ÍF II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while NSÍ II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
8.5%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00