Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 4-2 (7%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ÍF II 1-2 Hoyvík
Original prediction
ÍF II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.9% | 70.9% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 14.1% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.1% | 15.0% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÍF IIWWLWW
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HoyvíkLLLWL
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
ÍF IIHoyvík
81.0Attack50.8
30.2Defence1.6
52.4Form30.2
52.8Power30.2
4.50xG1.90