Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
ÍF II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while HB II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
9.5%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40