Ezravs
Shan United
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Club Championship · 9/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ezra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ezra 3-2 Shan United
Original prediction
Ezra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.17 | 11.1% | 39.7% | 28.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.5% | 23.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 70.4% | 36.8% | -33.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 7.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
28.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ezra
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Ezra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EzraLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shan UnitedWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EzraShan United
16.7Attack28.6
50.0Defence28.6
0.0Form28.6
26.7Power32.4
2.04xG1.11