GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ezeiza are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EzeizaLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nautico HacoajDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
EzeizaNautico Hacoaj
27.3Attack33.3
57.6Defence84.8
39.4Form54.5
44.1Power58.9
0.40xG0.81
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