GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/18/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ezeiza are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ezeiza hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EzeizaWDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Everton La PlataLWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
EzeizaEverton La Plata
27.3Attack16.7
57.6Defence69.4
39.4Form25.0
44.1Power40.0
0.55xG0.55
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