GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/7/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ezeiza are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EzeizaLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella Del SurWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EzeizaEstrella Del Sur
27.3Attack51.9
57.6Defence76.5
39.4Form71.6
44.1Power67.7
0.39xG1.29
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