GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/3/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ezeiza are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella de Berisso hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EzeizaWWLLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Estrella de BerissoDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EzeizaEstrella de Berisso
27.3Attack43.3
57.6Defence60.0
39.4Form46.7
44.1Power50.2
0.69xG1.02
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