Ezeizavs
Deportivo Metalurgico
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Metalurgico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ezeiza 0-1 Deportivo Metalurgico, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ezeiza 1-5 Deportivo Metalurgico
Original prediction
Deportivo Metalurgico
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 26.6% | 16.7% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.59 | 34.5% | 26.5% | -8.1 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 38.9% | 56.9% | 18.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.0 pts
Projected Score
Ezeiza 0–1 Deportivo Metalurgico
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Metalurgico
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Deportivo Metalurgico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20