GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/2/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ezeiza are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EzeizaLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Belgrano ZarateDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
EzeizaBelgrano Zarate
27.3Attack25.0
57.6Defence80.6
39.4Form47.2
44.1Power53.5
0.41xG0.59
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