Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rizespor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eyüpspor 0-2 Rizespor
Original prediction
Rizespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.99 | 23.6% | 31.2% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.8% | 28.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.6% | 40.4% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Rizespor
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Rizespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EyüpsporLWLLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RizesporLWLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EyüpsporRizespor
16.7Attack25.0
50.0Defence66.7
25.0Form50.0
33.8Power50.3
1.04xG1.14