Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kasımpaşa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eyüpspor 0-1 Kasımpaşa
Original prediction
Kasımpaşa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.44 | 17.2% | 13.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.4% | 19.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 58.4% | 67.0% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Kasımpaşa
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Kasımpaşa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EyüpsporLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 19 · avg 0.00/3.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
KasımpaşaWLWDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EyüpsporKasımpaşa
8.3Attack50.0
8.3Defence62.5
12.5Form54.2
14.2Power57.2
0.71xG2.27