Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Göztepe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eyüpspor 0-4 Göztepe
Original prediction
Göztepe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 24.5% | 28.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.6% | 25.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 49.9% | 46.5% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Göztepe
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Göztepe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EyüpsporLLLWL
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GöztepeDDLLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EyüpsporGöztepe
11.1Attack61.1
11.1Defence16.7
16.7Form16.7
16.6Power34.6
1.49xG2.17