GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alanyaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Eyüpspor 2-1 Alanyaspor

Original prediction

Alanyaspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2029.3%32.2%2.9 pts
Draw3.1529.7%29.1%-0.7 pts
Away2.2940.9%38.7%-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Alanyaspor

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Alanyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EyüpsporLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlanyasporWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EyüpsporAlanyaspor
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.09xG1.25
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