GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 4/29/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Extreme are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nyasa Big Bullets are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Super League, while Nyasa Big Bullets holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyasa Big Bullets

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ExtremeDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Nyasa Big BulletsWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
ExtremeNyasa Big Bullets
17.2Attack38.9
52.9Defence80.6
20.7Form63.9
33.4Power63.7
0.32xG1.10
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