Extremadura 1924vs
Zamora
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Extremadura 1924 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Extremadura 1924 0-1 Zamora
Original prediction
Extremadura 1924
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 42.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.8% | 29.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.3% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Extremadura 1924
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Extremadura 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20