Extremadura 1924vs
Real Unión
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Extremadura 1924 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Extremadura 1924 2-2 Real Unión
Original prediction
Extremadura 1924
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.7% | 40.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 26.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.5% | 33.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Extremadura 1924
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Extremadura 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60