Extremadura 1924vs
Racing Ferrol
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Extremadura 1924 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Extremadura 1924 1-0 Racing Ferrol
Original prediction
Extremadura 1924
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 37.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 30.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.1% | 31.8% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Extremadura 1924
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Extremadura 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40