Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Express 0-1 Kitara, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Express 1-1 Kitara
Original prediction
Kitara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.3% | 21.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.2% | 27.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 43.5% | 51.6% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Projected Score
Express 0–1 Kitara
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kitara
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Kitara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ExpressLWLLD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
KitaraDDDLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ExpressKitara
41.4Attack52.9
56.3Defence72.4
36.8Form62.1
46.3Power62.9
0.70xG1.34