Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Express · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Express 1-0 Kataka, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 65.8% | 54.9% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.4% | 27.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 8.32 | 10.7% | 17.7% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Express 1–0 Kataka
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Express
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Express has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ExpressDLDDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KatakaLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ExpressKataka
19.0Attack19.0
66.7Defence19.0
23.8Form9.5
38.6Power19.9
1.23xG0.55